Source: WHO
Can we quantify the risk of measles outbreaks (and if yes, using which data/models)?
Guerra et al., Lancet Inf Dis, 2017
How do we best estimate susceptibility?
Population-level susceptibility depends on:
(1) and (2) are in principle reported via coverage and case data
Abrams et al., Am J Epid, 2014
Does serology predict outbreaks?
Robert et al., BMC Med, 2022